GP Poll: Who Will Win Pennsylvania Primary?

I think Hillary will win, remember that she started off this long stretch between primaries up by 20. However, I think the gap will have closed enough that her win won't have enough delegates associated with it to mean much. That won't stop her from wringing every drop of worth she can out of even a tiny victory, but in the end it will be hard to spin the math.

I understand the wariness of some gamers over Obama's "put down the games" comments... but really, isn't that what we've been wanting all along? For government to advocate responsible parenthood as opposed to legislation? Never did Obama say stop playing games altogether, just that occasionally parents do need to make their kids take a break to do other things too. It seems reasonable enough to me.

Clinton, you can rest assured, would love to legislate games into oblivion.

One last thought that I would like to leave, is that while the candidates stances on games aren't all that meaningful in light of other issues, how it reflects on their attitudes towards broader technology is somewhat important. The fact that Obama understands the importance of net neutrality, and is taking advice from Lawrence Lessig, means a great deal to me.

Clinton's going to win; last weeks "debate" (more like a 3:1 mugging) spent the first half dredging up every stupid non-issue POS gaffe that could be found on obama, and he hasn't had the chance to bounce back from that flurry of bullshit.

Obama's still gonna win though, unless the Supers decide to ignore the fact that he's won more states, more delegates, and the popular vote.

As to Obama's hypothetical chances in the election: I'm thinking pretty good. Mcain seems to be willing to carry on bush's policies regarding iraq, and that's gonna hurt him big time. The fact that he doesn't grasp that the economy is weak right now will not work out in his favor.

Hillary will probably win Pennsylvania, but she has no way of overtaking Obama's delegate lead. It's pretty much over. And since McCain is basically running for a third term for George W. Bush, who 75% of the nation hates, I think it shouldn't be too hard for him to take the White House (presuming our media actually talks about real issues at some point instead of focusing on meaningless campaign nonsense like who did what in Bosnia or does someone have an elitist vibe, which means I take that back and we're all doomed to four more years of Bush).

Under our current system, voting third-party is basically the same as not voting at all, so I heartily endorse this option for all Republicans unhappy with McCain.

It's not going to matter, because their stances on every issue and nearly the exact same friggin' thing, and they know it- so they've resorted to name-calling and just about every political dirty trick known in the book.

And in the end, McCain is probably going to win. -.-

@Austin Lewis

Hillary "knows nothing about the issues"? I challenge you to find one article written by any journalist that claims Obama knows more about the issues than Hillary. She is a policy wonk through and through. She could give a 2 hour speech on any political issue you can think of. Obama has been criticized for months for being vague on his policies. You clearly have no idea what you are talking about. Just like the idiots you claim Hillary panders to.

Obama FTW!

As much as I want Obama to win Pennsylvania, I don't think he will. He won't lose by much mind you, but with the "Kitchen sink" politics of the Clintons, I just think he's not had enough time after the latest few gaffes he and his campaign have made.

I hope I'm wrong though and I hope Pennsylvanians prove me wrong.

@hudson922

Give that man a Prize!

The poll should have different options for the margin of victory. Clinton will most likely win PA, I think the real question is whether she can win with a big enough margin to make any real headway in the overall delegate count.

As a UKer, can we ask nicely that you put Obama in the White House?

I think Hilary pulls this one out, but the delegate will be negligible. The convention is going to be chaotic.

Well, obviously, Obama's the lesser of the two evils. But I still worry about his hypocritical message, saying kids should be more involved in art and music, then turn around and tell parents to put the games away.

Is there no candidate on our side?

The delegate math says that the contest has been decided for a while now, but the media is enjoying the ratings so they're portraying the race as closer than it actually is. Even giving Clinton extremely generous projections for the remaining primaries, she can't catch up to Obama in delegates. Even giving her every single super delegate who hasn't come out supporting either candidate, she wouldn't be able to reach the magic number to clinch the nomination.

It's just scorched earth politics for the Clinton right now. She wants to do as much damage to Obama as possible so that he'll lose the general election and she can run again in 4 years.

Clinton UGH

I pray it is Obama but afraid it will be Clinton / she will do anything to win

evan be filmed throwing back A SHOT followed by a beer
so every one knows she is one of the boys.

I have always hoped I would see a woman president. but not this one she makes women look cheap.

One thing that concerns me about the victor is the likely hood that the next president will be appointing new judges to the supreme court... bush already managed to stack two of them in there... Quite frankly, i would not trust Hilary at all for choosing Supreme court justices... between Clinton and McCain, i think i would rather trust McCain more with that responsibility... as far as Republicans go, i think he's more moderate than most conservatives and is more willing to compromise... With Clinton, i just KNOW she will put on "nanny-state" justices... With McCain, i feel that, while conservative, he will put on more moderate justices...

@Tom
Not exactly... despite the difference in delegates Clinton still has a real chance of getting the nomination. Neither of them will reach the 2025 delegates they need to automatically win the candidacy and as such the decision will come down the Democratic Convention which can pretty much vote however they please... if they really want, they can give the candidacy to Clinton despite her lower delegate count. However it will take a lot for the convention to vote against the majority delegate count; would likely result in a lot of backlash.

Right now, Clinton's strategy is to prove that Obama is a poor choice and can't win the final election against McCain... essentially she's trying to prove that this is a case where the majority voters are wrong.

What's so problematic about the whole thing is that if Obama wins the candidacy she will have done considerable damage to his campaign. First, by having the democratic nomination run into June, McCain is able to campaign unopposed and gain support. 2nd, her tactics are more about mud slinging Obama and convincing people he's bad, as opposed to the MUCH more tasteful tactic of just trying to convince people she's better. The mudslinging she uses against Obama and the damage she's done will carry over to the general election; it will weigh Obama down and give McCain some aid (If McCain wins he should send a gift basket to Hillary to thank her for helping knock Obama down a few pegs)

really, unless she actually thinks McCain would be a better choice for president, then she's a complete idiot, is thinking of only of herself and fails to see the bigger picture. If she and Obama really do carry some of the same views and if she would rather a democrat win as opposed to McCain, then she should be willing to take one for the team, and do what she can to support Obama to make sure we get a democrat in the whitehouse... At the very least, if she wanted to still take a shot for the whitehouse, she should continue her campaign in such a way that what she says can't be used against Obama during the general election

Yeah. I'd LOVE for Obama to win... but Hillary may take it since people are SOOOO desperate for a female president.

I'm still not forgiving my state (Ohio) for voting for Hillary.

There's a big difference between who I think will win and who I want to win. I'm sure Clinton will win Pennsylvania, she's been way up in the polls since the beginning (though Obama has closed much of the gap). I would like it if Obama won Pennsylvania, but I'm confident he will win the nomination (just look at the math of how many pledged delegates he's likely to end up with) so I'm not concerned.

whoever wins the general election, be it Obama, Clinton, or McCain (to a much lesser extent) we lose.

the democrats want to take away as much as possible from you, and McCain just flat out is...McCain.

@Adiobam:

Could you actually cite your logic?

Fools are voting who they WANT to win, not who actually WILL win. Clinton has been strong and projected to win PA for months. I'm an Obama supporter, but I can't see him pulling a victory there; At best, it'll be a small margin loss for Obama.

Rather Obama win,but it'll be Clinton.

~the1jeffy: I'm sure there are some cosmetic differences, but his foreign policy is just as (if not more) hawkish: McCain is 100% behind continuing the war in Iraq, and hasn't exactly shown reservations about Iran either.