With Vivendi Merger Complete, Will Activision Make a Run at Take-Two?

July 10, 2008 -

The New York Times' Deal Book blog speculates today that Activision Blizzard may be eyeing an acquisition of Grand Theft Auto publisher Take-Two Interactive.

Electronic Arts, of course, has been chasing T2 for most of 2008 and has a tender offer outstanding. EA's problem, however, is that T2 shareholders just aren't jumping on board so far.

Analyst Mike Hickey of Janco Partners told the Deal Book:

We absolutely believe Activision will take a look at Take-Two. If a competitor is for sale, you take a look, and if EA is your real rival, why wouldn't you stir the pot a little bit?

However, UBS Securities analyst Ben Schachter pooh-pooh any such deal:

It is highly unlikely that Activision would try to outbid EA. They have enough on their plate at the moment.

The oft-quoted Michael Pachter of Wedbush-Morgan had his own opinion:

There are only three players involved — EA, the FTC and the arbs. Is EA likely to withdraw or lower their offer? No, because they want Take-Two. The odds of the FTC not approving the deal on market concentration is virtually zero. And if the arbs want to sell the stock, they'll sell the stock — they don't care what [T2 chairman] Strauss Zelnick thinks the stock is worth.

 


Comments

Re: With Vivendi Merger Complete, Will Activision Make a Run at

http://uk.gamespot.com/news/6193619.html?part=rss&tag=gs_news&subj=6193619

Interesting article here about Activision/Blizzard. Particuarly the last paragraph.

Personally, I think it's a bit too soon to get hopeful, there's a lot of organizing needed after a merger, but the ball isn't quite out of the court yet...

Re: With Vivendi Merger Complete, Will Activision Make a Run at

The odds of the FTC not approving the deal on market concentration is virtually zero.

The FTC has already telegraphed that it's focused on the sports market and, whether or not one agrees that the "sports game market" is the relevant one, I believe EA will have more than 80% if it swallows Take Two.  That's the sort of number that this entire pre-approval process is supposed to prevent.  The FTC has run its second request and the process will play out, but the existence of a second request is a good sign that things are going to be expensive and time consuming, regardless of the outcome, thus testing EA's devotion to the deal.  It would be most interesting if the FTC requires a spin off, but that's a little too textbook to actually happen.

As for Activision "making a run" at Take Two, maybe they could do some sort of white knight offer; however, I can't imagine their existing shareholders (or lenders) being too pleased with two acquisitions in quick order in this climate.

Re: With Vivendi Merger Complete, Will Activision Make a Run at

It'd certainly be better than EA getting them.

Re: With Vivendi Merger Complete, Will Activision Make a Run at

yes once again, stop quoting patcher.  only way the guy will no longer be relevant is if he stops getting quoted.

Re: With Vivendi Merger Complete, Will Activision Make a Run at

There are only three players involved — EA, the FTC and the arbs. Is EA likely to withdraw or lower their offer? No, because they want Take-Two. The odds of the FTC not approving the deal on market concentration is virtually zero. And if the arbs want to sell the stock, they'll sell the stock — they don't care what [T2 chairman] Strauss Zelnick thinks the stock is worth.

Correction, there are three players, EA, the FTC, and Take Two. Take Two has recommended to it's shareholders that the current offer be rejected as undervaluing the company. Contrary to what Mr. Pachter says, obviously the majority of the "arbs" do care what the chairman that they appointed thinks, as they haven't lept at EA current stale offer.

Really, at this point I'm starting to wonder what axe Pachter has to grind with Zelnick. Everything he's said thus far amounts to "Zelnick's wrong/making it up/full of it and isn't going to matter, Take Two's gonna cave."

Which is contrary to some notable stubborness on Take Two's part, and skeptism by other analysts.

 

-Gray17

Re: With Vivendi Merger Complete, Will Activision Make a Run at

I'm going to have to agree with Ben Schachter on this one. Activision Blizzard has an aweful lot of work to do in completing all things concerning their merger, couple this with them stepping out of the ESA and trying to get something like that set up internally, i think they'll have enough on their plates at the moment.

I would much rather see Activision Blizzard take over Take2 then i would EA, but it's not really up to us. Shareholders are the only ones in power.

Re: With Vivendi Merger Complete, Will Activision Make a Run at

"If a competitor is for sale"? Last I checked, this was a hostile takeover. I don't recall Take-Two ever being for sale. Not too mention, with EA already acquiing a portion of the stocks anyways, I think it'd be a bit harder for anyone else to just barge in and join the hostilities.

 
Forgot your password?
Username :
Password :

Shout box

You're not permitted to post shouts.
ZippyDSMleecrap around. It’s quite annoying but kinda fun like galaxy...even if has the power ups I hate the planets... oh and here comes a C&D in 3...2.....03/29/2015 - 11:45pm
ZippyDSMleeI was never that much of a fan they messed up the power ups, the level design was good enough for the time but ...meh.. Playing through sunshine again since I am no longer a south paw the controls are still stupid there's little to no options to change cr03/29/2015 - 11:45pm
Cheater87http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/parents-could-be-reported-to-police-if-children-play-violent-video-games-like-call-of-duty-and-grand-theft-auto-10141697.html03/29/2015 - 11:45pm
ZippyDSMleehttp://www.afterdawn.com/news/article.cfm/2015/03/29/click-here-to-play-super-mario-64-in-hd03/29/2015 - 11:45pm
ZippyDSMleeMedia mafia wants you to sleep wif the fishes!03/29/2015 - 11:44pm
MechaCrashThe MPAA and RIAA are a pack of extortionists and thugs, and they both need to be destroyed.03/29/2015 - 10:19pm
ZippyDSMleehttps://torrentfreak.com/mpaa-wanted-less-fair-use-in-copyright-curriculum-150329/03/29/2015 - 10:17pm
PHX CorpI have to say somthing about an injustice in the Xbox video Store, the first 6 Star Wars films are not available in either SD or HD03/29/2015 - 6:17pm
mthielThis reminds me of schools a few years ago who forbade their students from having MySpace accounts. I don't mean blocking MySpace from the school, I mean banning the kids from having accounts)03/29/2015 - 5:12pm
Constermthiel, that is fucked up. Threatening to call social services on parents if you find out they let their kids play the wrong kind of video games is a suicidal move for schools.03/29/2015 - 5:07pm
mthielSchools in england are sending letters to parents regarding GTA. http://www.cnet.com/news/school-principals-threaten-parents-with-police-if-kids-play-grand-theft-auto/03/29/2015 - 4:57pm
Matthew Wilson@mask that tweet says zeldu wiiu will be missing, it says nothing about some kind of remaster.03/29/2015 - 4:01pm
MaskedPixelanteI highly doubt Zelda will be missing from E3. They've got something lined up, next year is the 30th anniversary.03/29/2015 - 3:59pm
Matthew Wilsonhttps://twitter.com/NintendoAmerica/status/581579256704081920 for those who did not see it zelda wont be at e3 ether.03/28/2015 - 2:22pm
ZippyDSMleeGot my keyboard working now now trying to sort and customize my stuff back to where I had it.03/28/2015 - 2:03pm
InfophileSony's customer service has always been crap, but up till now it's been manageable crap. A few cases of people having to pay for being hacked at worst, the Other OS removal... This one is going to be much worse for them.03/28/2015 - 1:34pm
WymorenceWhen did Sony start doing the ransomware stuff...? other than the old BMG rootkit stuff that is.03/28/2015 - 12:45pm
ZippyDSMleeother keyboards work but my keyboard will not work on it works on all the laptops tho...03/27/2015 - 11:22pm
ZippyDSMleeComp crashed acouple days ago and ate my keybaord drivers worse yet it's mislabel the drivers or hardware ID or soemthing and can not install the right drivers even manually it gives errors... going to try another restore point....03/27/2015 - 11:18pm
PHX Corphttp://ps4daily.com/2015/03/ps4-update-bricks-gamers-console-sony-wants-150-to-fix-it/ New PS4 update bricks gamers’ console, Sony wants $150 to fix it03/27/2015 - 11:11pm
 

Be Heard - Contact Your Politician