Wedbush: Industry Rebound Possible on New Hardware

June 21, 2010 -

Wedbush analysts Michael Pachter and Edward Woo, who no longer think that the video game industry is "recession proof" (remember that?) are now saying that the new hardware introduced during E3 last week in Los Angeles has the potential to reinvigorate the sector. The major hurdle, they say, is pricing. The Wedbush duo were apparently most impressed with the Nintendo 3DS, which provides gamers (not under the age of 7, says Nintendo, because 3D is the devil to your eyes at that tender age) with 3D gaming and entertainment without the need for goofy 3D glasses. The 3DS is rumored to have a price point of $250 or more, but the pair do not believe it will matter, saying that Nintendo will sell millions of units.

Microsoft's Kinect, on the other hand, will have to be priced reasonably to sell, they believe:

"We think that if Microsoft prices Kinect close to cost (which we estimate to be around $70), it will see a very high attach rate, with the potential to drive $200 – 400 in lifetime value from each Kinect household," the pair states. "On the other hand, it is equally logical to charge a very high price for the device, especially if it is expected to be supply-constrained. We are not yet convinced that the hard core Xbox 360 user, who typically 'controls' decisions about his/her console, will find the game lineup for Kinect sufficiently compelling to purchase the device at a price point over $100, and think that pricing at the higher point would severely limit sales."

You don't have to be an "analyst" to figure that out. On the PlayStation Move, the pair offers a similar opinion:

"If purchased as part of a bundle, the all-in cost to play with Move will approach $180, which we think is beyond the reach of the typical household. We think that Sony's Move is truly impressive, but remain concerned that initial sales could disappoint."

Sony announced that the Move controller would cost around $50 each. But Pachter points out that consumer confusion may ensue over what or how many peripherals you might need to play a game; some Move enabled titles use the camera and one controller, while others require two for one person and there is also a separate entertainment "navigation device (a remote) that can be purchased for around $30. That confusion could fluster some consumers to no end, though most hardcore gamers that want move are quite capable of reading the back of a game box to figure it out..

On the software front, Pachter and Woo believe that this year's E3 lineup "was perhaps the most impressive in years" (?) naming MTV's Dance Central as the Kinect's "killer app," and predicting that Activision's Call of Duty: Black Ops will be this year's best selling game. A pretty safe prediction on the latter..

Source: Gamasutra

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Comments

Re: Wedbush: Industry Rebound Possible on New Hardware

 well he has a gaming web show with over 100 episodes, and has appeared on every major gaming show sever times, but I guess that doesn't matter. (this was intended as a reply to an above comment)

Re: Wedbush: Industry Rebound Possible on New Hardware

Kinect and Move will have to be reasonably priced to sell?

 

They won't sell, I guess.  Neither MS nor Sony are known for pricing anything reasonably, and since they still lose money for everything they sell that isn't a game, I don't see that changing for these.

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Re: Wedbush: Industry Rebound Possible on New Hardware

When are gaming websites finally going to realize that no gamer gives a fuck what Mr. Pachter "thinks", "believes" or, especially, "says"?.

And now he comes with a sidekick. My god, what a bore.

Re: Wedbush: Industry Rebound Possible on New Hardware

I would love a job where you get paid a lot of money to say the most obviouse stuff like this.

http://www.magicinkgaming.com/

Re: Wedbush: Industry Rebound Possible on New Hardware

What are you smoking? New hardware costs more than games........ dose not compute......


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Have you visited a video game arcade in the last year?:

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MechaTama31I sure have. Dorky's barcade in Tacoma, WA.08/20/2014 - 5:56pm
Matthew WilsonI have not been to a arcade in years. I know arcades are still big in japan.08/20/2014 - 5:38pm
Sleaker@AE - Ah no it's called GroundKontrol - I was just referring to it as a Bar-Arcade.08/20/2014 - 4:39pm
Andrew EisenStill looking for confirmation that High Moon Studios (dev behind the PS3/360 versions) isn't working on it.08/20/2014 - 4:38pm
ZenGotcha.08/20/2014 - 4:37pm
Andrew EisenI already updated the story with it!08/20/2014 - 4:36pm
Zenhttp://www.gonintendo.com/s/235574-treyarch-isn-t-working-call-of-duty-advanced-warfare-for-wii-u-either08/20/2014 - 4:36pm
ZenLet me send the link for the Tweet as well...they state Treyarch is not working on it. Grabbing it now.08/20/2014 - 4:34pm
Andrew EisenWhere does it say that "NO dev is working on it"?08/20/2014 - 4:33pm
ZenHere's the link for my last comment: http://www.ign.com/articles/2014/08/20/call-of-duty-advanced-warfare-not-coming-to-wii-u08/20/2014 - 4:24pm
ZenWell, Call of Duty is skipping Wii U completely it seems...they updated that NO dev is working on it. Great way to just skip a market.08/20/2014 - 4:24pm
Andrew EisenYeah, Dave and Busters back in 2011 was the last time for me.08/20/2014 - 4:16pm
ZenWell, I tried lol. We just got a Dave and Busters on the beach but haven't been there yet...may go this weekend.08/20/2014 - 3:52pm
Andrew EisenIt's called The Bar-Arcade? Missed opportunity. I would have gone with Barcade.08/20/2014 - 3:25pm
SleakerThe Bar-Arcade however did have a lot of good pinball machines, they were however always taken as the place was packed..08/20/2014 - 1:17pm
Sleakerso I've been to an Arcade-Bar, not that great of a place has some okay machines, but generally over-packed. And then all the kid-friendly ones have is ticket-games nothing actually good unfortunately :(08/20/2014 - 1:14pm
Andrew EisenIf it has an area dedicated to arcade machines, I'd say it counts. Arcade machine in your house though, nope.08/20/2014 - 12:16pm
ZenDoes it count if you have actual arcade machines in your house?08/20/2014 - 12:01pm
E. Zachary KnightWith the current poll, I guess it all depends on how one defines "arcade". If Chuck E Cheese or similar multipurpose businesses count, then that is a yes for me.08/20/2014 - 11:59am
ZenLet the ax fall Sleaker...lessons MUST be learned...08/20/2014 - 11:44am
 

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