TorrentFreak says that a new report about the costs of piracy to various industries is overblown and in some cases an outright manipulation of numbers. Reports on piracy do tend to be overblown, or at the very least hard to substantiate because they tend to contain a lot of industry estimates. In other words, it is a lot harder to track the activities of pirates and file-sharers than it is to track sales. Hell, the games industry cannot even accurately track digital sales because it doesn't have the full access it needs (they are at least working on it, according to NPD and UKIE).
A new report announced by the Australian Content Industry Group claims that of Australia’s 22 million citizens, nearly 5 million are pirates. The report goes on to say that file-sharers were responsible for $900 million in losses to the games, movie, film, music, and software industries in 2010. The report even takes a shot at Australia’s National Broadband Network, which it claims will cause losses to rise to $5.2 billion by 2016.
As TorrentFreak points out, the study is not available anywhere, and the group that produces it has ignored requests to get a copy of it. So instead, they decide to do a little math with the numbers that the report contained and some editorializing:
"If we believe the researchers, 6.5 million pirating Australians will be responsible for $5.2 billion in losses by 2016. This means that without piracy those people – including children and the unemployed – would spend an extra $800 per year, on average. Right.
Even if we assume that this would be even remotely possible, why would it go to $800 per head from the $187 they estimate now?
We suspect of course that the report makes some wild claims, such as arguing that every download is a lost sale. So with more and better broadband connections people will download more, and so cause more losses. Of course, this type of reasoning lies far from reality."
Perhaps the Australian Content Industry Group will release its report and prove web sites like TorrentFreak wrong with hard numbers..
Source: TorrentFreak




Comments
Re: New Australian Piracy Report Claims Doom and Gloom for ...
"This means that without piracy those people – including children and the unemployed – would spend an extra $800 per year, on average. Right."
No, no it doesn't. At least, I hope it doesn't because that's a really stupid conclusion.
"Even if we assume that this would be even remotely possible, why would it go to $800 per head from the $187 they estimate now?"
I would imagaine because they're calculating it as the same 6.5 million pirates every year, not 6.5 million over 5 years.
Andrew Eisen
Re: New Australian Piracy Report Claims Doom and Gloom for ...
What makes it stupid? The TF article does say '$900m a year', so for the $5.2 billion to count as being 'propelled' to a 'staggering' amount, it cant possibly be over a five-year period, it has to be for ONE YEAR. So, if that amount is what piracy 'cost' the industry, then it would have expected that $5.2 billion in one year to come from those 6.5 million people, wouldnt it? Which works out as $800 per person.
So, assuming there are no factual errors in the report, what is actually wrong with that logic?
Re: New Australian Piracy Report Claims Doom and Gloom for ...
Assuming that if pirates didn't pirate stuff they'd just fork over an additional $800 a year is stupid because it doesn't logically follow for a ton of reasons not the least of which is, as the article mentioned, a portion of the pirates are people such as children and the unemployed who don't have that kind of disposable income.
Andrew Eisen
Re: New Australian Piracy Report Claims Doom and Gloom for ...
Oh I see. I'm pretty sure the author was being sarcastic when he quoted that figure. So for once I think we're all in agreement :)
Re: New Australian Piracy Report Claims Doom and Gloom for ...
The numbers are rather low too, you'd need 10 times that almost 6M to lay a foundation for a few dozen low wage jobs or intensives for developers to move there or enough money for the media industry to employ more people in any significant number..
I mean even world wide privacy numbers are in the billions and that diluted world wide making it simply insignificant. Focus needs to be placed on the why and how of people not buying fro the license chain its one part money, one part location one part one part convenience. All of these factors keep people out of the retail(and digital retail) loop. Money can be dealt with by setting up a world wide minimum no more its worth 50$ here and 100$ there, you need to accentuate your normal distribution means with digital at a lower cost to the public(buy a game off PSN or Live and its 20$ cheaper than the box in the store) AND do simple subtitle translations of your JP only games so you expand its market significantly.
It would also behoove IP owners to go more after IP distribution sites/places(indexing/searches/hosting) that seek any kind of profit/compensation for distrusting unlicensed IP.
We can do alot better if the industry would stop trying to shift its lard ass on all of us evenly rather than regionally.
I have a dream, break the chains of copy right oppression! http://zippydsmlee.wordpress.com/2010/05/21/cigital-disobedience/
Copyright infringement is nothing more than civil disobedience to a bad set of laws. Let's renegotiate them.
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http://zippydsm.deviantart.com/
Re: New Australian Piracy Report Claims Doom and Gloom for ...
Could it be in a modern country you will have decent levels of generic piracy due to simple reasons as populairty and alertive ways to get digital content?
They are makeing a bucket of water into a city swaping flood.
I have a dream, break the chains of copy right oppression! http://zippydsmlee.wordpress.com/2010/05/21/cigital-disobedience/
Copyright infringement is nothing more than civil disobedience to a bad set of laws. Let's renegotiate them.
---
http://zippydsm.deviantart.com/
Re: New Australian Piracy Report Claims Doom and Gloom for ...
I will start up the "spin" machine.
The reason Australia is a hot bed of piracy scum and villany is because they do not have an MA18+ rating for emtertainment media. So if they could just get the adult rating passed piracy would drop immensly.
(whew! I need a nap now.)
Re: New Australian Piracy Report Claims Doom and Gloom for ...
Not to mention the massive prices they're paying for games.
Every time there is a new release on Steam, the forums will always be flooded about priec complaints.
Re: New Australian Piracy Report Claims Doom and Gloom for ...
Correction. They do not have an R18 rating for video games. THey have one for everything else they rate.
E. Zachary Knight
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E. Zachary Knight
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